since 12/15/98		Columns::September 16, 2002 Weekly Reader Prof edits manifesto for environment Environmental Foresight and Models is based on the work of the International Task Force on Forecasting Environmental $120 Elsevier Change from 1993 to 1998. Edited by M. Bruce Beck, UGA professor and Eminent Scholar of water resources in the Warnell School of Forest Resources, it discusses the immense challenges that structural change presents--that is, the possibility that the behavior of the environment may come to be radically different from that observed in the past. “We are faced with the possibility, for example, that the waters of the Atlantic Ocean may cease to circulate in the way that they do now, with profound, but hard-to-predict consequences for Northern Europe,” Beck says. Drawing upon case histories from the Great Lakes dealing with acidic atmospheric desposition and, among others, the ozone problem, this study responds to a new set of questions: What system of “radar” might be designed to detect threats to the environment lying just beyond the horizon? Are the seeds of structural changes identifiable within the observations of the past? Is there any evidence in the narrow window of the empirical record to suggest that the system may already be on its way to collapse? Researched by leading environmental modelers, this volume offers a vital account of how models can begin to take into consideration the threat and uncertainties that structural change poses. UGA Today supports QuickTime, Flash, RealPlayer and Acrobat Reader (PDF files). Download information about these plug-ins. Affiliate icons for UGA Today COLUMNS ] UGA Today ] Subscribe ] News Bureau ] Office of Public Affairs Directory ] Photo Services ] Broadcast, Video & Photography ] Master Calendar] Columns ] Georgia Magazine ]Visitors Center ] UGA Home ] Alumni ] Admissions ] UGA Directories ] Sports ] Weather ] Search UGA sites ] Columns is produced by the UGA News Service, a unit of UGA Public Affairs. Beth Roberts: Columns editor, Juliett Dinkins: Columns managing editor, Janet Beckley: Columns art director. Peter Frey: Columns photo editor Questions or comments should be directed to columns@uga.edu Copyright 2002 University of Georgia. All rights reserved