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Population
Dynamics and Community Organization -- As a Ph.D. student in the laboratory
of Dr. George Batzli, I conducted field experiments to test predictions
generated by our multifactorial model of vole population dynamics. The
causes of multi-annual cycles in vole population density have eluded ecologists
for decades, and single-factor approaches (such as those based on simple
predator-prey or plant-herbivore relationships) have been applied widely
but have proven unsatisfactory. The goal of this NSF-funded research was
to study simultaneously the direct, indirect, and interactive effects
of multiple factors. We hypothesized that observed dynamics are the result
of interactions between factors that are extrinsic (environmental) and
intrinsic (behavioral) to populations. We manipulated three extrinsic
factors, food quality, predation, and interspecific competition and then
monitored the responses of individuals and subsequent population dynamics.
We predicted not only direct effects of changes in food quality and predation
on vole population density, but also interactions of these factors with
responses to the presence of interspecific competitors. From theories
of social regulation, we expected increased rates of agonistic encounters
with competitors to cause increased dispersal rates and decreased population
density. We also predicted less dispersal when predators were present
because they inhibit vole movements and less dispersal when supplemental
food was present because it reduces aggressive behavior. Our model was
partially supported. Interactive effects of competition did occur as expected,
but the presence of predators and supplemental food increased, rather
than decreased, the effects of competitors due to indirect effects on
population density. We concluded that behavioral factors had much weaker
effects on population dynamics than did environmental factors in this
system. While multifactorial models have been criticized for being too
general and untestable, this research clearly demonstrated their feasibility.
I believe that investigations into the complex interrelationships among
multiple factors can serve as a foundation for improved understanding
of population and community dynamics. In my future research, I plan to
continue employing small mammals as a model system, and also hope to apply
this approach to other systems that are amenable to experimental manipulation.
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